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Who Will Win The Kentucky Derby 2024 According To AI Software ChatGPT?

Andy Newton

If you are struggling to pin your hopes on one horse ahead of Saturday’s 150th Kentucky Derby, what about siding with ChatGPT picks? We asked the popular AI ‘chatbot’ who will win the Kentucky Derby 2024, plus even the horse they believed was going to finish LAST.

  • ChatGPT Predicts Big Kentucky Derby Fancy Sierra Leone To Strike
  • Kentucky Derby Favorite Fierceness Expected To Beat All But One Horse
  • Japanese Raider Forever Young Can Make The Show
  • Frankie Dettori & Society Man To Come Last, According To ChatGPT

What Is ChatGPT?

ChatGPT is artificial intelligence software launched in November 2022 that users can fire in questions, and it will produce an AI response.

The chatbot was developed by OpenAI and, even though many rivals have popped up since, ChatGPT is often credited as leading the way in the AI boom of the last few years.

The software analyzes questions posed by the user, then searches the internet and its vast AI database of data to come up with a detailed answer.

ChatGPT has also been famed for helping students with their papers. We’ve now tasked it with how to bet on the Kentucky Derby and on which horses.

What Did We Ask ChatGPT Ahead Of The Kentucky Derby 2024?

Here’s the question we pumped into the ChatGPT software – “Write me a 2024 Kentucky Derby prediction on how the race will be run and the first four horses home from the 20 runners in the Churchill Downs 150th renewal of the Run For The Roses”

Who Will Win The Kentucky Derby 2024 According ChatGPT?

See below the response from ChatGPT when asked to give Kentucky Derby picks of its own.

“In the 150th renewal of the Kentucky Derby at Churchill Downs, the race is expected to be fiercely contested with a field of talented contenders vying for the prestigious Run For The Roses. Here’s a speculative prediction on how the race might unfold and the first four horses to cross the finish line:”

“The race begins with all 20 runners bursting out of the gates, eager to establish a favorable position early on. Fierceness, the favorite at 5-2 odds, breaks well and takes up a prominent position near the front. Closely followed by Sierra Leone and Catching Freedom, who are also expected to show early speed.”

“As they approach the first turn, Sierra Leone, under the guidance of jockey Tyler Gaffalione, asserts his dominance and takes command of the lead. Fierceness and Catching Freedom maintain their positions in the leading pack, while Forever Young and Just a Touch begin to make their move from mid-pack.”

Entering the backstretch, Sierra Leone continues to set a strong pace, with Fierceness tracking closely behind. Meanwhile, Forever Young starts to launch a bold bid on the outside, steadily gaining ground with each stride. Just a Touch and Mystik Dan also make progress, positioning themselves well for the final stretch run.

Sierra Leone, Fierceness, Forever Young & Just A Touch In ‘Thrilling Battle’

“As they turn for home, the race becomes a thrilling battle between Sierra Leone, Fierceness, Forever Young, and Just a Touch. Sierra Leone digs deep to maintain his lead. But Fierceness and Forever Young are hot on his heels, with Just a Touch closing in with a strong late rally.”

“In the final furlong, it’s a photo finish as Sierra Leone holds off the late charges of Fierceness and Forever Young to claim victory in the Kentucky Derby, providing trainer Chad Brown with a memorable triumph. Just a Touch finishes a close fourth, just narrowly missing out on a place in the trifecta.”

So, in short – when asked who will win the Kentucky Derby 2024 – ChatGPT are putting their money on Sierra Leone.

ChatGPT Kentucky Derby Picks 2024

  1. Sierra Leone
  2. Fierceness
  3. Forever Young
  4. Just a Touch

“However, as with any horse race, unexpected outcomes are always possible, and the actual results may vary depending on race day conditions, jockey decisions. Plus, the performance of each horse on the day of the race.”

Sierra Leone: More About The ChatGPT Kentucky Derby Winner

So, who is Sierra Leone?

Trainer Chad Brown is still hunting his first Kentucky Derby winner, but the betting odds with the best Kentucky Derby racebooks suggest they have an excellent chance getting off the mark with Sierra Leone.

This Gun Runner colt is one of the big Kentucky Derby favorites coming into Saturday’s race and has only tasted defeat only once from his four career starts.

He was also the winner of the Toyota Blue Grass Stakes at Keeneland in early April (watch below), where he had the Brad Cox runner Just A Touch (2nd) and Dornoch (4th) in behind. Sierra Leone will also need a top five finish to smash through the $1m prize money won and sits third in the list of Kentucky Derby top earners in the 2024 race. Our ChatGPT picks say he can do it.

Those against Sierra Leone might look to his Kentucky Derby post position draw, as the last horse to win from gate 2 was Affirmed in 1978.

He’ll also be ridden by Tyler Gaffalione, who has had six past rides in the Kentucky Derby, but is yet to win this Triple Crown first leg.

Sierra Leone silks

  • Saddlecloth: 2
  • Post Position: 2
  • Runs: 4
  • Wins: 3
  • Career Earnings: $918,000
  • Trainer: Chad Brown
  • Jockey: Tyler Gaffalione
  • Betting Odds: 3-1

WATCH: Sierra Leone Winning The Toyota Blue Grass Stakes

ChatGPT Might Have The Right Result, But Will Sierra Leone Be Leading So Soon?

Of course, we are not going to argue with ChatGPT and the final outcome of the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Sierra Leone is their idea of the winner and most would agree a worthy pick.

However, even though ChatGPT picks may have worked out who will win the Kentucky Derby 2024. Their race preview might come under question.

They say, “As they approach the first turn, Sierra Leone, under the guidance of jockey Tyler Gaffalione, asserts his dominance and takes command of the lead” and then add “Sierra Leone continues to set a strong pace, with Fierceness tracking closely behind”.

This may happen, but many horse racing fans will also know that the Chad Brown runner Sierra Leone is more of a hold-up, closer. Which is based on his running style from his first four career outings.

He landed the Blue Grass Stakes last time at Keeneland coming from off the pace and racing in the final pair for most of the contest. While his other three runs all have in-running comments that say, ‘held up in the rear’.

Therefore, it’s unlikely connections are going to change a style that’s seen him lose only one of his four career runs. But who are we to challenge the power of AI?

We Also Asked ChatGPT: Which Kentucky Derby 2024 Horse Will Finish Last?

For a bit of fun, we also fired in the question to ChatGPT on which Kentucky Derby horse is most likely to finish last. It wasn’t good news for the Frankie Dettori-ridden Society Man.

Here’s ChatGPT’s Response

“Predicting the last-place finisher in a horse race as prestigious and competitive as the Kentucky Derby is inherently challenging, as numerous factors can influence the outcome. However, based on various considerations such as recent form, trainer and jockey performance, and past race results. Here’s a speculative prediction on which horse might finish last in the 2024 Run for the Roses:”

“Given the depth of talent in the field and the unpredictable nature of horse racing, it’s difficult to pinpoint a single horse as the definite last-place finisher. However, one contender that may face challenges in the race is Society Man. Trained by Danny Gargan and ridden by Frankie Dettori, Society Man enters the race with relatively long odds of 50-1 and may struggle to keep pace with the front-runners over the demanding 1 1/4 mile distance of the Kentucky Derby.”

“While every effort is made by trainers and jockeys to prepare their horses for such a prestigious event, the competitive nature of the Kentucky Derby means that even well-prepared contenders can face difficulties on race day. Society Man’s lack of recent success and relatively high odds suggest that he may find it challenging to compete against the other talented runners in the field.”

“It’s important to note that horse racing is inherently unpredictable, and any horse in the field has the potential to encounter setbacks or surprises during the race. Therefore, while Society Man is speculated to be a possible candidate for last place. The actual outcome will depend on numerous factors and cannot be definitively determined in advance.”

When is the Kentucky Derby 2024?

The 2024 Kentucky Derby will be run on Saturday, May 4 at Churchill Downs racetrack.

  • 📅Time/Date: 6:45pm, Saturday May 4, 2024
  • 🏇Racecourse: Churchill Downs
  • 💰 Purse/Winner: $5m / $3.1m
  • 📺 TV: NBC (Live Stream: You Tube, Peacock, fuboTV)
  • 🎲 Kentucky Derby Odds: Sierra Leone +300 | Fierceness +350 | Forever Young +800

2024 Kentucky Derby Betting Odds

See the latest 2024 Kentucky Derby odds that you can get by joining up with the best Kentucky Derby betting sites in the US:

  • Dornoch: +2000
  • Sierra Leone: +300
  • Mystik Dan: +2000
  • Catching Freedom: +800
  • Catalytic: +3000
  • Just Steel: +2000
  • Honor Marie: +2000
  • Just a Touch: +1000
  • Encino: 20-1 – (scratched)
  • T O Password: +3000
  • Forever Young: +1000
  • Track Phantom: +2000
  • West Saratoga: +5000
  • Endlessly: +3000
  • Domestic Product: +3000
  • Grand Mo the First: +5000
  • Fierceness: +250
  • Stronghold: +2000
  • Resilience: +2000
  • Society Man: +5000

Note: Odds are subject to change

Note: Others on request, but all current Kentucky Derby odds correct as of 09:00 ET on Wednesday, May 1 2024.

Andy Newton
Andy Newton

Andy Newton is a horse racing handicapper who specializes in key race trends for the biggest events in the sport around the world. His statistical approach to finding winners is one that has paid off time and time again. Check out the latest trends and Kentucky Derby stats from Andy on the site.